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The U.S. Grains Council expects Asian corn import demand, especially in Southeast Asia, to stay flat in 2023. A stronger U.S. dollar and low Mississippi and Ohio river levels are raising import costs and restricting barge loadings.
Egypt's weaker currency has also reduced feed grain demand.
Flat Asian demand and uncompetitive U.S. corn prices favor Brazilian and Argentine supplies, pressuring U.S. corn prices. Low river levels raise barge freight costs and limit Gulf export capacity.
ukragroconsult.comDec 2, 2022
spglobal.comMugunthan Kesavan, Shikha Singh, Melvin KwokNov 30, 2022After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
