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Bank of America economists say the US Dollar Index, currently at 20-year highs, is unlikely to peak yet. They cite persistent US policy divergence, high energy prices tied to the Ukraine crisis, and weak Chinese import demand.
A continued strong dollar would keep dollar-priced feed commodities under pressure and raise import costs for buyers outside the US. Energy-driven dollar strength also links currency moves to fertilizer and freight costs.
teletrade.orgMay 17, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
