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Nordea analysts argue that the dollar's recent strength stems mainly from rising US real yields tied to expected Fed hikes, rather than from the change in political party. They point to rising US productivity as the key factor justifying higher real yields.
Persistent dollar strength driven by real yields would keep pressure on dollar-priced commodities and emerging-market currencies, limiting import demand for US feed ingredients.
teletrade.orgNov 14, 2016After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
