
China's commerce minister raised objections with US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo over US semiconductor export curbs, sanctions on Chinese firms, and tariffs on Chinese imports. The talks took place in Beijing.
Ongoing US-China trade and tech friction raises the risk of retaliation against US farm exports, which could weigh on agricultural demand. The immediate effect on grain prices is limited.
After 152 past geopolitics events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 464 past geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 62 past geopolitics events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.4% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.