Ag trade deficit to grow in FY25, as Chinese market shrinks

After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.

• Jun 10, 2021Minor changes in June WASDE, traders turn attention to dry weather | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-7.3%
• Nov 8, 2019Nation's corn crop is shrinking | 2019-11-08 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-2.7%
• Apr 16, 2025Slowing biofuel demand weighs on veg oil markets | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.4%
• Jan 13, 2026Daybreak Jan. 13: Soybean growers let down by crop report | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.9%
• Mar 9, 2021Corn, soy, wheat ending stocks hold steady for March | 2021-03-09 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1.3%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Mar 8, 2019Trade turns to weather as potential market mover | 2019-03-08 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.8%
• May 31, 2023USDA lowers ag trade forecast for FY 2023 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1.8%
• May 12, 2020Corn ending stocks grow but not like traders expected | 2020-05-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.6%
• May 10, 2019[Article Headline] | 2019-05-10 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+5.8%
• Nov 9, 2022WASDE reveals small crops are done getting smaller | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.6%