Ukraine seeks UN-backed mission to export grain shipments through Black Sea

After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Feb 21, 2021Ukraine, Russia ink deal to export grain on Black Sea+0.7%
• Jun 6, 2022Ukraine Cautious as Turkey, Russia Push to Restart Black Sea Grain Shipments - Bloomberg+0.1%
• Mar 18, 2023Ukraine Black Sea grain export deal extended, UN and Turkey say | Russia-Ukraine war News | Al Jazeera-3.3%
• Feb 4, 2024Turkey to discuss 'new mechanism' for Ukraine Black Sea grain exports with Russia, minister says-1.3%
• Mar 25, 2025Russia, Ukraine agree to avoid attacks on grain ships, energy infrastructure on Black Sea-1.9%

After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Feb 21, 2021Ukraine, Russia ink deal to export grain on Black Sea+1.6%
• Jun 6, 2022Ukraine Cautious as Turkey, Russia Push to Restart Black Sea Grain Shipments - Bloomberg+5.9%
• Mar 18, 2023Ukraine Black Sea grain export deal extended, UN and Turkey say | Russia-Ukraine war News | Al Jazeera-0.0%
• Feb 4, 2024Turkey to discuss 'new mechanism' for Ukraine Black Sea grain exports with Russia, minister says-4.6%
• May 17, 2023Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for two months | Reuters+2.4%