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The Black Sea grain deal was extended for two months. About 30.3 million tonnes of grain and foodstuffs have been exported from Ukraine under the deal, including 625,000 tonnes on World Food Programme vessels for aid in several African and Middle Eastern countries.
Continuation of the corridor avoids a sudden loss of Ukrainian export capacity, limiting the upside risk to grain prices.
reuters.comHuseyin Hayatsever, Michelle NicholsMay 17, 2023After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Two-month extension of the Black Sea deal secured Ukrainian export flows, reducing supply risk premium.
