Ukraine exported almost 6 mln tons of wheat

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Feb 7, 2025Ukrainian wheat exports exceeded 11 mln tons-1.0%
• Jul 2, 2024Russia boosts grain exports to 68.4 mln tonnes in 2023-24 agro season, 55.9 mln tonnes of wheat - analysts+8.9%
• Feb 6, 2024Ukraine grain exports on the rise | World Grain-3.6%
• Jul 28, 2025Australia could increase wheat exports to 25 mln tons next season-1.3%
• Jul 16, 2025French Ministry of Agriculture has estimated the current year’s wheat harvest at 32.6 mln tons+1.6%

After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Aug 22, 2017Russia is No. 1 wheat exporter-2.7%
• May 9, 2018Wheat drops 1% ahead of USDA report-1.7%
• Dec 19, 2023Increasing forecasts of wheat harvest and exports from Canada lowers quotations in the US+2.4%
• Jan 6, 2025US export figures disappoint - wheat has to cope with+2.4%
• Oct 22, 2026Wheat markets sink as weak exports outweigh drought concerns-3.4%

After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Aug 11, 2023Ukraine: Seasonal Grain Exports Near 3 Million Tons-1.6%
• Jun 12, 2020Grain exports from Ukraine and Russia almost reached projected volumes+0.2%
• Sep 19, 2019Strategie Grains Raises EU Wheat Harvest, Export Outlook Again | ESM Magazine+2.3%
• Jan 6, 2025US export figures disappoint - wheat has to cope with+4.1%
• Aug 1, 2024China's meat sector growth and U.S. grain and oilseed exports-0.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.