Argentina soy harvest could be worst in decades as forecast slashed

After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Mar 1, 2017Argentina: Corn Areas Forecast Has Been Increased; Soybean Areas Forecast Has Been Decreased-1.0%
• Mar 14, 2018Argentina soybean production forecast down 13% | World-grain.com | March 14, 2018 19:51 | World Grain-1.2%
• Jul 10, 2026FAS sees slight dip in Argentine soy output | World Grain+1.3%
• Nov 10, 2020Soy futures surge to new four-year high as USDA slashes inventory estimates | Reuters+4.4%
• Sep 10, 2026Argentina cuts soybean harvest outlook as corn margins improve | The Pig Site+1.9%

After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Mar 14, 2018Argentina soybean production forecast down 13% | World-grain.com | March 14, 2018 19:51 | World Grain-2.8%
• Oct 21, 2021Argentina’s oilseed crushing rate forecast to drop+0.4%
• Sep 10, 2026Argentina cuts soybean harvest outlook as corn margins improve | The Pig Site+4.1%
• May 6, 2021USDA forecasts drop in Argentine soyabean output and exports+5.8%
• Jun 29, 2018"An unforgettable year for soybeans in Argentina", yields and harvested area at its lowest — MercoPress+2.5%

After 296 past bullish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Oct 21, 2021Argentina’s oilseed crushing rate forecast to drop-1.1%
• Jun 29, 2018"An unforgettable year for soybeans in Argentina", yields and harvested area at its lowest — MercoPress-0.4%
• Mar 14, 2025Global soybean crush forecast hits record high amid increased demand | Feed & Grain+2.4%
• Nov 14, 2023CBOT Soybean Oil Rises, Argentina Forward Prices Up+2.6%
• Oct 29, 2021China increases soyabean oil imports forecast-2.3%