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Soybean crushing in Argentina has not recovered after the 2022/23 drought, with September crush at a 22-year low. Soymeal demand has shifted to the US, lifting CBOT soymeal futures about 21.7% in one month while soyoil prices came under pressure.
Diverted export demand to US meal supports soymeal prices, while higher US meal output from crushing pushes soyoil prices lower.
mintecglobal.comRoxanne NikoroNov 8, 2023After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
