US forecaster says La Nina conditions present, could persist through Feb-April

After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Oct 9, 2025US National Weather Service says La Nina conditions likely to persist through Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 | Reuters-2.2%
• Nov 21, 2022Persistent La Niña Conditions Aggravate Crop Losses+2.0%
• Dec 15, 2022La Nina Pattern Continues Through December for South America-0.1%
• Sep 12, 2024La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+3.5%
• May 9, 2024El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+0.1%

After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Oct 9, 2025US National Weather Service says La Nina conditions likely to persist through Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 | Reuters-0.9%
• Mar 13, 2025U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer+6.5%
• Nov 21, 2022Persistent La Niña Conditions Aggravate Crop Losses-3.5%
• Sep 12, 2024La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+4.9%
• Dec 15, 2022La Nina Pattern Continues Through December for South America+2.2%