
Argentina's Economy Minister Luis Caputo confirmed that the temporary export tax cut on soy and corn will end as planned. Duties on soymeal and soyoil return to 31% from 24.5%, and on soybeans to 33% from 26%.
Higher export taxes reduce Argentine farmers' incentive to sell, tightening world meal and oil supply and supporting soymeal and soyoil prices.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.