
A recap of the 2025 US growing season says an active weather pattern brought better-than-expected conditions to most of the country, despite early-season drought in the Plains and Midwest. The season was more favorable than the hot, dry 2012-style outcome many had feared.
Favorable weather delivered strong yields, which adds to ample feed grain supplies and weighs on prices.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.