
Nebraska Extension meteorologist Eric Hunt forecasts warmer and wetter conditions for the 2024 growing season, with more precipitation expected in eastern Nebraska from Gulf of Mexico moisture. He said a spring as dry as the previous year would be surprising.
A wetter outlook reduces expected drought risk for Plains and Midwest crops, which is mildly bearish for corn and soybean prices.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.