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Grain markets reacted unevenly to the May WASDE report. Corn firmed despite mostly unsupportive USDA data, while soybean and wheat contracts fell on technical selling.
Crop progress showed fast corn and soybean planting.
Mixed reactions show the report was largely in line with expectations, so the price impact was limited. Fast planting reduces weather risk premium for the coming crop.
farmprogress.comMay 13, 2020After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
