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MinnStar Bank summarized the May 10 WASDE as mainly bearish for corn and soybeans, with 2018-19 corn ending stocks raised 60 million bushels to 2.095 billion. Corn stocks came in 40 million bushels above average trade estimates, and USDA cut projected corn use by about 300 million bushels from the prior year on lower exports.
Early 2019-20 corn and soybean stocks were described as high.
Higher old-crop and projected new-crop stocks, combined with stalled trade talks, weigh on corn and soybean prices and limit near-term recovery.
minnstarbank.comNicole HinzMay 13, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
