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Brazil's real strengthened to as much as 4.7663 per dollar, its highest since March 2020, and is up more than 16% year to date, the largest gain among 31 major currencies. Brazilian stocks have returned over 30% in dollar terms, leading global equity indexes, as foreign investors bought local assets for 53 of 55 sessions through March 22.
Strong foreign inflows and a firmer real reflect high Brazilian interest rates and commodity price strength; a stronger real raises the dollar cost of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal, which can support prices for feed ingredients priced off Brazilian export competitiveness.
bloomberglinea.comDavison Santana, Vinícius AndradeMar 24, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record foreign inflows into Brazilian stocks and local assets pushed the real to a two-year high (about 4.77 per USD), directly explaining the BRL/USD decline of roughly 5% in the week.
