
Grain futures held steady after a Monday selloff triggered by escalating rhetoric in the US-China trade standoff. The slow pace of harvest and winter wheat seeding provided some support heading into the holiday.
Broad risk-off sentiment across markets and renewed trade war concerns pressure grain demand expectations, while slow harvest progress offers modest price support.
After 480 past neutral trade events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 206 past neutral trade events, WHEAT moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.