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Gulf soybean barge basis eased slightly after a spike on strong Chinese demand, with traders estimating about 1 million metric tons of purchases that week. USDA confirmed more private soybean sales to China for December and January shipment.
Low Mississippi water has curtailed shipping and kept a firm floor under CIF basis, while futures rallied to multi-year highs.
Strong Chinese buying and higher futures support soybean prices, while low-water freight costs keep barge basis firm.
rallies.aiRallies AISep 10, 2026After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
