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Canola rose nearly $100 per tonne since March 14 despite a sharp escalation in US-China tariffs, closing at $654 per tonne on April 10. China's retaliatory tariffs on US soybeans of up to 145% make US soy imports uneconomic, pushing China toward other sources.
Chicago soyoil also rose.
Prohibitive tariffs on US soybeans should shift Chinese demand to Brazilian and Canadian oilseed supplies, supporting canola and soyoil prices.
manitobacooperator.caAdam PeleshatyApr 12, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Canola rallied about $100/t since mid-March despite US-China tariff escalation, with China shunning US soybeans, which supports oilseed and meal demand.
