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U.S. first-quarter GDP growth slowed to 0.5%, which kept the Federal Reserve cautious about raising rates and pushed gold and silver to one-year highs. Crude oil roughly doubled from about $26 to over $46 per barrel in three months, supported by falling drilling activity and Venezuelan supply concerns.
Cattle prices fell to a four-month low below $1.23 per pound.
Higher crude prices raise diesel and fertilizer costs for feed production and transport. Low interest rates and weak growth shape the broader macro backdrop for commodity markets, while cattle weakness reflects beef-specific demand problems.
greeleytribune.comWalt BreitingerApr 30, 2016After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
