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Canadian canola crushing capacity is set to rise from 11 million to 18 million tonnes if announced plants are built, adding roughly 3.5 million tonnes of meal to the market. A similar expansion of US soybean crushing is underway, and the industry is seeking new markets for meal.
Growing meal supply relative to demand could weigh on canola and soybean meal prices unless new feed and export outlets develop. Strong biofuel-driven oil demand supports crush expansion, shifting value toward oil over meal.
deere.caLorne McClintonJan 1, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 28 past bullish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (32% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.8%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
