Money managers cut net long positions in US gasoline and diesel contracts by about 20%. The reduction came amid talk of a possible ban on oil product exports, and Goldman Sachs advised hedging ULSD exposure.
Possible export restrictions on US products would keep domestic diesel supply higher and weigh on US prices relative to global markets. Fund liquidation adds downward pressure on near-term futures.
After 21 past bearish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.5% to +4.7%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Funds cut net longs in diesel and gasoline by about 20% amid export-ban talk, so positioning liquidation added selling pressure on ULSD.