South American support of Chicago soy futures may soon face challenges -Braun

After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Oct 11, 2022Wheat, corn futures slip ahead of key USDA crop forecasts | Financial Post+0.8%
• Mar 31, 2025Soybean market facing typical pressure from South America-4.5%
• Oct 10, 2019Corn futures fall after higher U.S. yield estimate surprises traders | Financial Post+0.5%
• Jun 30, 2020Corn, soy climb on smaller-than-expected USDA acreage view | Financial Post+3.3%
• Nov 11, 2024Global soybean market faces challenges amid oilseed production decline | Feed & Grain-1.8%

After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jan 14, 2026China’s 2025 Soybean Imports Hit Record, Fueled by S. American Purchases+0.7%
• Sep 9, 2026China continues US soybean push amid South American purchases | World Grain+4.3%
• Aug 11, 2022Argentina: The overlooked hub of South American soy - Insights - Trase-11.7%
• Jul 1, 2025New European Soy Report Highlights Progress and Challenges in Transition to Deforestation-Free Supply Chains  - ProTerra Foundation-1.5%
• Jul 8, 2026Attachés offer South American soybean forecasts | The Western Producer+0.3%