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The BIS September 2022 Quarterly Review reports that markets swung as investors reassessed central bank responses to persistent inflation, and the US dollar reached record highs. It also notes that effective restrictions on Russian energy output would spill over into industrial production and biofuel crops.
A record-high dollar and emerging-market currency weakness reduce the purchasing power of importers of feed commodities. The biofuel-crop spillover from energy restrictions could tighten vegetable oil and grain supplies.
bis.orgSep 19, 2022After 53 past bullish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
