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Gulf Coast refiners are posting their strongest margins in years as Middle Eastern crude disruptions boost demand for US fuel exports. US refinery utilization has averaged above 95%, and refined product exports hit record highs in March 2026.
Ultra-low sulfur diesel futures carried a $72 premium over WTI, nearly double the pre-war level.
Strong export pull is tightening US product supply and pushing domestic diesel and gasoline prices toward records. This raises fuel and freight costs for feed buyers and supports soybean crush economics via higher product values.
bicmagazine.comReutersApr 10, 2026After 26 past bullish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.9% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -5.6% to +1.6%), and -4.8% over 20.
After 12 past neutral trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -3.6% to +0.9%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
