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The Treasury market closed with moderate losses as US fiscal stimulus hopes and shutdown risk weighed on bonds. Congress reached a $900 billion relief deal, and the dollar rebounded from a multi-year low on safe-haven demand tied to Brexit uncertainty.
A weaker dollar supports US commodity export competitiveness, while stimulus and macro uncertainty affect energy and feed price sentiment.
admis.comADMIS Research TeamDec 21, 2020After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
