
Gold fell sharply on March 18 as a hotter-than-expected PPI report and a stronger dollar lifted real yields. The Fed was widely expected to hold rates at 3.50–3.75%, with markets pricing few cuts and some desks floating a possible hike.
Hot producer inflation and rising real yields strengthen the dollar and tighten financial conditions, which tends to pressure commodity prices and raises the cost of carrying inventories.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.