Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK) data show total raw milk production fell 4.9% to 21,379,088 tons in 2025 from 22,487,757 tons in 2024. Cow's milk, which makes up 94.5% of output, dropped 4.0%, while buffalo milk fell 33.0%, goat milk 29.8% and ewe's milk 11.9%.
A shrinking Turkish raw milk supply reduces domestic dairy availability and could raise import demand for dairy feed ingredients and milk powders. The effect on global prices is modest given Turkey's relatively small share of world output.
After 240 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.