
A farmdoc daily analysis reports that the county add-on products ECO and SCO accounted for 35% of federal premium subsidies for nine major crops in 2026, up from 4% in 2024 and 16.7% in 2025. The increase is linked mainly to higher subsidies under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and is concentrated in the Midwest.
Richer subsidies for county-level coverage can encourage more insured acreage and affect farmer risk management, but the effect on near-term grain supply and prices is small.
After 1,646 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.