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Argentina's La Niña-driven drought pushed soybeans to US$9.98 a bushel in late January, and analysts see possible further cuts to the Argentine crop toward 45-50 million tonnes. The article argues longer-term feed demand from China, ASEAN and India will drive future rallies.
Potential Argentine soy shortfalls could push world soy inventories to their lowest since 2014-15, supporting soybean and meal prices, though the rally stalled after the USDA report.
m.efeedlink.comFeb 14, 2018After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, SBM moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
