Markets
  • Corn$5.29/bu+0.2%
  • Soybeans$13.20/bu+0.2%
  • Soybean meal$370.60/US ton-0.5%
  • Soybean oil$0.6782/lb+0.4%
  • SRW wheat$7.04/bu-0.4%
  • HRW wheat$7.62/bu-0.7%
  • Live cattle$222.10/cwt+0.5%
  • Feeder cattle$332.00/cwt+1.2%
  • Lean hogs$68.97/cwt-0.7%
Commodity Markets

China's Tariff Consideration List Covers Corn, Beef and Ethanol but Excludes Bulk Soybeans and DDGS

China has published a 1,619-tariff-line list of U.S. products eligible for consideration for lower tariffs, covering corn, wheat, cotton, beef, pork, dairy and ethanol, but notably omitting commercial (non-seed) soybeans and distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS). Actual tariff reductions remain pending domestic legal processes in each country, and the widely cited "30-for-30" figures represent a 2024 trade valuation benchmark rather than a purchasing or savings commitment.

China has released a 38-page list of U.S. products eligible for consideration for lower tariffs, offering the clearest picture yet of the negotiating scope following a summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping — but the document contains a significant gap for agricultural markets: bulk commercial soybeans are absent.

What Is on the List

According to analysis published by Ag Bull on 28 September 2026, China's list contains 1,619 tariff lines spanning agricultural and other goods. Agricultural products covered include corn and sorghum (both seed and non-seed categories), wheat, rice, raw cotton, fresh and frozen beef and pork, poultry products including frozen chicken feet, milk powders, whey, butter, cheese, and undenatured and denatured ethanol. Soybean seed, soybean flour, soybean oil, and soybean oilcake and meal categories are also listed.

The Soybean and DDGS Omissions

The source analysis identifies a critical distinction: while soybean seed (HS 12011000) appears on the list, there are no entries under the non-seed soybean subheading 120190, which covers bulk shipments destined for crushing and food use. The source states the documents "do not support describing this framework as a new tariff concession for bulk U.S. soybean exports" and that they "do not explain why those beans were omitted."

A second omission also matters for feed markets: distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS), classified under HS code 23033000, are not included on the list. The source cautions that ethanol's inclusion "should not be interpreted as equivalent coverage for its major feed coproduct."

Tariff Cuts Not Yet in Effect

The documents confirm that approval of the product lists does not immediately reduce tariffs. According to the source, "Future reductions must be determined and implemented through each country's domestic legal processes." The working procedures envision tariff adjustments generally no more frequently than annually and provide no effective date for first reductions.

What "30-for-30" Means

The source clarifies that the administration's "30-for-30" description refers to the two approved lists representing roughly $30 billion in goods in each direction, valued using calendar-year 2024 bilateral trade. The source characterises these figures as "a historical valuation benchmark for the selected products — not $30 billion in additional Chinese purchases, $30 billion in tariff savings or an agricultural purchasing guarantee."

Board of Trade Structure

The U.S./China Board of Trade, which will oversee the framework, will be led on the U.S. side by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and USTR Jamieson Greer, with Vice Premier He Lifeng heading China's delegation. Deputies are scheduled to meet at least quarterly to develop proposals for reciprocal tariff relief on selected goods. The procedures also permit the creation of additional working groups, including one on agriculture, and allow officials to propose additional products over time.

Market Implications

The source notes that if meaningful tariff reductions follow, listed products "could become more competitive in China, potentially supporting sales across grains, livestock products, cotton, food ingredients and ethanol," while cautioning that "actual demand would still depend on delivered prices, Chinese consumption, competing supplies and any remaining import requirements." For soybean traders specifically, the source states that bulk-bean purchases and any separate tariff action will need to be assessed independently of this list.

Prepared with AI assistance and reviewed by the editorial team.

Sources

Commodity Markets

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