
Oil and gas prices fell sharply on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump said the war in Iran was "very complete, pretty much." Crude had nearly reached $120 a barrel on Monday over fears of prolonged disruption to Middle East energy supplies, then dropped below $90. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly halted since the war began.
Energy price swings feed directly into costs for fuel, fertilizer and freight, which affect feed production margins. The Hormuz disruption threatens global supply, so prices could rebound quickly if the strait stays blocked.
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 15 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.1%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -9.2% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +4.7%。
在过去 51 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.2% 至 +3.9%),20 个交易日内为 -2.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Trump calling the war 'very complete' sent crude from near $120 to below $90, driving the sharp drop.
Oil fell on March 10 after Trump said the war was nearly complete, a sentiment-driven dip within the window that shaped the path of the weekly move.