
US President Donald Trump said the war with Iran would be over very soon, prompting a sharp oil selloff. Brent fell 11.28% to settle at $87.80 per barrel, and prices remain volatile and well above pre-conflict levels.
Expectations of a quick end to the conflict cut the geopolitical premium in crude, lowering energy and fertilizer-linked costs for feed production. Price direction will depend on whether shipping through the Strait normalizes.
在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%(31% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Trump's statement that the war would end 'very soon' triggered the Brent selloff of 11.28% to $87.80.