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Live cattle futures posted a record run, rising about eight cents per pound in under eight days, as second-quarter beef output was expected to fall more than 6%. USDA's prospective plantings report showed US farmers intend to plant 87.5 million acres of soybeans, below expectations, and soy complex prices rallied.
Crude oil also rose after OPEC cut output by 70,000 barrels per day.
Lower soybean acreage tightens the outlook for soymeal and oil supplies, supporting feed costs. The OPEC cut lifts energy costs that feed into fuel and fertilizer.
cnhi.com2023年4月2日在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 414 次看涨的报告事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（48% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 268 次看涨的报告事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%），20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 131 次看涨的报告事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.2%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +3.4%），20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Record futures run on expected 6%+ drop in second-quarter beef output reflects tight supply and momentum that carried into the window.
Published April 2 just before the move, it describes a record futures run driven by an expected drop of more than 6% in Q2 beef output, a supply-driven bullish impulse that fits the April 3 jump.
