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Analysts at Feed Strategy said USDA's August cuts to U.S. soybean production were larger than expected, but prices fell as demand and export forecasts were also reduced. The analysis noted that the survey predates August rains and that China's state reserve has been buying soybeans.
Demand from Germany for biodiesel feedstock was also cited.
Reduced U.S. supply supports soybean prices, but expected Chinese stockpiling and rising European crush demand could offset this. Buyers should watch whether the August rains improve yields.
feedstrategy.comEmma Penrod2023年8月16日在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 250 次中性的报告事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Prices fell after USDA's August report despite production cuts because demand and export forecasts were also reduced and rains post-dated the survey, pointing to a bearish demand reaction.
