USDA's October supply and demand report cut its 2018 beef production forecast by 150 million pounds to 26.9 billion pounds and trimmed pork and corn and soybean production estimates. Cattle futures rose on the news while lean hog futures extended losses.
A smaller USDA corn and soy crop leaves less grain for feed, which may push livestock producers to buy feed sooner, and tighter beef supply supports cattle prices.
在过去 268 次看涨的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 227 次看涨的报告事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The USDA October report (Oct 12) trimmed pork production estimates and was reported alongside lean hog futures extending losses, directly tying to the selloff just before the move window ended.
The Oct 12 USDA report trimmed pork production estimates yet lean hog futures extended losses that day, showing bearish momentum early in the 5-day window.