
Grain futures jumped early after reports that Russia planned to regulate grain prices, raising concern about lower exports. Weak Chinese trade data showing a large drop in soybean imports weighed on broader commodity markets ahead of the Brexit vote.
Possible Russian export restrictions would tighten global wheat supply and support prices, while weaker Chinese soybean imports point to softer soy demand. Overall direction depends on whether Russia enacts measures.
在过去 182 次看涨的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 318 次看涨的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Reports of Russia planning to regulate grain prices and curb exports raised supply concerns that likely carried into the next trading session, though the report is from Jan 18.