Chicago, Kansas and Minneapolis wheat March contracts fell between 3 and 11 cents per bushel, while corn slipped 2 cents and soybeans rose slightly. Russia formally announced its new-season export tax, a 70% levy over a FOB threshold set at US$200/t for wheat and $185/t for barley, based on a government benchmark.
Weekly US export sales included 7.4Mt of corn, 0.8Mt of soybeans and 0.6Mt of wheat.
The Russian export tax formalizes a levy already expected by the market, so its impact on Black Sea export competitiveness is largely priced in. Solid US corn export sales provide some underlying support for corn.
在过去 182 次看涨的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 37 次看涨的政策事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 318 次看涨的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Wheat contracts fell 3-11 cents on Feb 5 while Russia formalized a 70% export tax and weekly wheat export sales were modest (0.6Mt), keeping sentiment bearish.