ZMP reports European nitrogen fertilizer prices rose to their highest level since early 2023 on November 20, with urea around USD 350/t on December 4. The EU has imposed an import duty on Russian nitrogen fertilizers since July 2025, cutting Russian urea imports by about two-thirds, while phosphate and potash prices are reported up sharply year on year.
The EU shift away from Russian supply tightens nitrogen availability and supports non-Russian prices, raising input costs for European grain and feed producers. Higher phosphate and potash prices add to feed cost pressure over the coming season.
在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
在过去 318 次看涨的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。