
Soybean market participants are weighing signals from renewed U.S.-China trade talks, with bulls citing a possible headline lift and rumored cargoes of U.S. soybeans reaching China. An Oil World representative expects China will eventually need about 13 million tonnes more U.S. soybeans, but warned that without a deal the market could turn more bearish into early 2019.
Expectations of Chinese purchases underpin soybean prices, while lack of a trade deal raises the risk of lower prices and reduced U.S. soybean acreage.
在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 224 次中性的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。