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Propelled by the US-China trade war, China is pursuing soybean self-sufficiency by boosting domestic production. The analysis argues that Chinese soybean demand will remain large but that China will become less reliant on the US over time.
The strategic shift reduces the long-run share of China's soybean imports going to the US, which weighs on US export prospects. Near-term price effects are limited because the trend develops slowly.
api-prod.stratfor.com2019年6月28日在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
