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US soybean farmers are holding crops in storage to wait out the trade war, which has more than doubled US soybean inventories. Soybean imports by China are down nearly 90%, and prices have fallen below $9 a bushel from above $11 earlier in the year.
Bloomberg pegs July soybean futures at $9.27 on hopes for a G20 deal.
Doubled inventories and collapsed Chinese demand keep US soybean prices under pressure, while the futures curve implies some recovery if a trade deal emerges at the G20.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 224 次中性的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。