Why La Niña and “Western V” Climate Conditions Continue to Appear Conducive to Poor Eastern East Africa March-to-May 2021 Rains and Crop Production

在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。

• 2020年3月13日Rainfall and other climate conditions for March - AgriFocus Africa-4.2%
• 2018年7月30日IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months+1.3%
• 2026年9月4日El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+0.5%
• 2020年5月26日IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | May Climate Briefing: ENSO-Neutral Conditions Dominate+1.3%
• 2023年11月13日Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal-0.5%

在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。

• 2022年6月16日Dry conditions in Argentina cut crop’s size | The Western Producer-2.3%
• 2018年7月30日IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months-1.2%
• 2018年7月25日Strategie Grains cuts EU soft wheat crop estimate to 6-year low | The Western Producer-0.6%
• 2026年9月4日El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+1.4%
• 2022年2月17日Dry Conditions Continue Affecting Global Wheat Production+3.9%