Strategie Grains cut its estimate for the 2018 EU soft wheat crop to below 130 million tonnes, from 132.4 million in early July, the lowest since 2012. Dry, hot weather in northern and central Europe drove the revision, mainly through lower German, Danish and Swedish outlooks.
Euronext wheat futures rose to three-year highs.
A smaller EU crop tightens export availability and supports global wheat prices, with Black Sea supply concerns adding to the upward pressure on feed wheat costs.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。