
Strategie Grains cut its 2021 EU soft wheat forecast by 1.5 million tonnes to 131.5 million tonnes because of adverse weather. It also lowered world wheat production by 14 million tonnes to 750.3 million tonnes and expects stocks-to-use in major exporters to be near record lows.
A lower world crop and tight exporter stocks support wheat prices, as EU, North American and Black Sea harvest problems reduce export availability. Feed-grade share is rising, which may shift some supply into feed use.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。