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Hot, dry conditions and windy weather across the U.S. Great Plains are stressing newly planted winter wheat in Kansas, Colorado, Nebraska and Oklahoma. Hedge funds increased bets on a rally in hard red winter wheat to the highest in 15 months, and Chicago most-active futures were up about 3% since late September.
Drought stress on HRW plantings raises the risk of a smaller U.S. crop, which can support KWHEAT prices despite record global inventories. Fund buying adds near-term upward pressure.
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。