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The JRC's October ASAP assessment flags drier-than-average conditions for most of southern Africa from November 2023 to January 2024, with favourable prospects for South African and Zimbabwean wheat. East Africa faces mixed main-season prospects from localized drought and conflict, while the short-rains season may bring floods.
Below-average rains in southern Africa could reduce maize output and raise regional import demand for corn. Impact on global grain prices should be limited unless the dryness deepens.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。