Raising energy and fertilizer prices and upcoming El Niño main concerns to farming

在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。

• 2026年5月6日Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions - Joint Research Centre+3.3%
• 2022年11月21日Exceptionally warm autumn raises concerns in the south of Europe - Joint Research Centre+0.2%
• 2022年3月21日Fair start to spring for most European crops - Joint Research Centre+15.8%
• 2026年9月4日El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+1.4%
• 2018年7月30日IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months-1.2%

在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。

• 2026年6月8日Agricultural production threatened by combination of El Niño and high input prices - Joint Research Centre-0.9%
• 2026年5月6日Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions - Joint Research Centre+1.7%
• 2026年9月4日El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+0.5%
• 2026年10月7日El Niño weather extremes worsen food security in East Africa and Central America and threaten next season crops in Southern Africa and South America - Joint Research Centre-2.4%
• 2018年7月30日IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months+1.3%

在过去 30 次看涨的天气事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%（67% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +9.1%。

• 2025年2月23日US natural gas prices surge as La Niña replaces El Niño – Chemicals and the Economy-0.3%
• 2026年5月31日Wheat Futures Prices Have Surged 30% This Year As Iran War Hit Fertilizer Supplies and U.S. Drought Sent Output To A 54-Year Low-21.5%
• 2026年4月29日Indonesia 2026 crude palm oil output to fall due to El Nino, high fertiliser prices, association says | The Star-9.4%
• 2026年1月26日Natural gas prices hit $6 as Winter Storm Fern brings extreme cold+1.6%
• 2026年4月22日Chicago soy rises as oil prices climb, rain forecast threatens Midwest planting - Markets - Business Recorder-0.5%