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The JRC's May ASAP assessment flags adverse weather across parts of Africa, including reduced yields in Angola, Mozambique and southern Madagascar and delayed rains in Somalia and Ethiopia. It also warns that El Niño and high fertilizer and fuel prices linked to the Iran war are straining farmers in non-conflict countries.
Regional crop shortfalls and higher input costs in Africa can lift import demand for maize and feed grains. The effect on global prices is modest, but it adds to a tight fertilizer and fuel backdrop.
joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu2026年6月8日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
